Saturday, July 18, 2009

Nono to Nano? Or TATA to green environment?


Two very interesting but quite related incidents took place over the past week
  • India's vision of seeing a Rs 1 Lakh ($2500) car finally became a reality as the Tata motors delivered the Nano to its first customer. This project went through significant challenges and this event definitley deserves mention amidst this background.
  • India's Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh recently signed a declaration at the Major Economies Forum (MEF) in Italy, committing India to curbing its carbon emissions. There is a debate still going on in the India media on whether this has caused india to compromise on its development agenda.

As one can see, these 2 developments seem to be a classic case of the right hand not being aligned to the left hand. The Nano, albeit an engineering marvel is all set to do its damage to the environment in terms of flooding the already bustling indian roads and potentially increase the carbon emissions exponentially. With a 620cc engined, Nano in itself is unlikely to be an issue but imagine the impact of having a million nanos on the roads over the next couple of years. Considering this fact, is the Government really serious on what it is committing to ?

If we step back for a minute, it just seems to be a case of bickering over insignificant spoils. Sure, the western world has contributed to most of the environmental destruction till date but can the developing countries use this an excuse to add their own piece to the pie? At the end of the day, quite a few of these destructions are irreversible damages and it is unlikley that a significant portion of the world population will be able to enjoy the benefits of such ill-conceived development (if it happens).

With a bulging population (that is showing no signs of slowing down) , unplanned development and loose regulatory environment, India is still trying to come to terms with the spoils of globalization. The Nano is something more than just the release of a new model of a car. It possibly is the inflection point in India's growth story as it slowly starts doing for Iwhat the Ford Model-T did for America, more than a 100 years ago. But a Model-T to a 100 million population in 1895 is a far cry from a nano to a 1.2 Billion population in 2009 . So is Nano the begining of the end? I do not want to define what does "end" mean as it is just too scary. Do we have the guts to say NONO to the NANO? Or is it TATA to green environment?

Saturday, July 4, 2009

The Great Indian Fuel Hike - common sense takes a backseat


The new government ushered in the month of July 2009 by announcing a fuel hike of Rs 4. per litre of petrol and Rs 2. per litre of diesel. In a sense, the announcement was not completely a surprise. Consecutive governments use fuel price as an effective lever in the political drama by taking advantage of the regulatory mechanism prevalent in the country. It is not uncommon to see a drop in prices in the buildup to the elections during which time the oil companies(most of which are state owned) start accumulating losses. Once the election is over, it is time to pass the buck back to the populace and give a relief to the oil companies. The fluctuating global oil prices have not helped the cause either as India pretty much imports all its oil.
What is surprising however is the reaction by our population to the fuel hike. The most predictable and thereby the most ridiculous reaction is the way, people queue up to the fuel bunks on the eve of the announcement (most times, the fuel hike kicks in only from the following day) and try to fill up their tanks. This silly reaction results in the following
  • Huge traffic jams across the board
  • The bunks run short of supply very quickly thereby leading to rise in tempers.
  • Unneccessary pollution caused due to the traffic jams
  • Significant pain to people who really need to fill up their vehicles (because their fuel tanks are empty)
  • It is not unusual to see people having heated arguments with the staff at the petrol bunks who reel under the onslaught of the mad rush. In a number of cases, the police had to intervene to bring the situation under control

If you step back and think about this reaction, it makes absolutley no economic sense. For a car, if an average person fills up 20 litres of petrol on a price-hiked day, he stands to gain Rs 80 (which is equivalent to saving up of 1.75 litres of petrol) vis-a-vis filling it up on the next day. If it is diesel, this number goes down to Rs 40 (which is equivalent to 1 litre of diesel). Considering that a litre of petrol gives an average petrol car user a mileage of 12 kms/litre in the city and a diesel car gives a mileage of 15 kms/litre, one is left wondering at what the fuss is all about. It is quite clear that for 4-wheelers, there is just no gain in queueing up on D-day at the bunks. The argument is slightly different for 2-wheelers who do stand to gain slightly more because the average mileage in the city for a 2-wheeler is about 45 kms/litre and thereby makes slightly more economic sense. But if you think about it, a 2-wheeler only runs of petrol and an average 2-wheeler user does not fill up more than 3-4 litres at any point in time, the savings are just about Rs 16 and thereby they really do not save much either. Of course, 2-wheelers are less inclined to cause a traffic jam and also take lesser time to fill up their tanks.

Agreed that this hike could eat into the meagre savings of the middle and lower class who are already reeling under the impacts of the global recession but this mad-rush does not in any way alleviate their pain. As a matter of fact, it just increases their frustration at the eco-system. It is time that we as a population, get mature and stop reacting in such an emotional and senseless manner to the Great Indian Fuel Hike.